Fyodor Lukyanov: Biden of AmericaThe Trump generation is making an effort to hold on to an outmoded political reality.

Joe Biden has announced his intention to run for a second term as President, and if successful, he would be 82 years old on Inauguration Day. If successful, Biden would be 86, and by the end of his presidency, he would be 86. Age is no longer a burden in the modern world, and practices and techniques encouraging active longevity are widespread and effective. Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad will be 98 in two months, and Henry Kissinger will celebrate his centenary in a month's time. Biden's political line is consistent and logical, and he is being pursued consciously and not under the influence of apparitions.

There is a good chance of a rematch in 2024, with Donald Trump facing an opponent he lost to in 2020. The elections are still a year and a half away, and if these two candidates make it to the final stage, what form will the eventual long generational transition take? The Trump-Biden generation has been running the US since the early 1990s, with Bill Clinton being the first to hold high office and implementing a unipolar, US-centric world order. However, the consciousness of the American establishment, which aims to preserve and strengthen the old system, has not changed. Trump's "America First" discourse challenges the globalist aspirations of the American ruling class, but his place in history is not in doubt.

American world dominance is now under intense pressure, with rivals challenging the hegemon and a rejection of claims to leadership, especially American dominance. The global "material resistance" effect has emerged, with signs that the US is realizing that it is impossible to return to the golden period of the unipolar moment. This is not yet a meaningful U-turn to a different strategy, but rather an aggravating circumstance. The belief that the US cannot help but lead is inherent in the philosophy of the American state itself, but has changed over time. The Cold War and its aftermath created a unique situation in which Washington was given the leverage to directly manage the world. If Biden and Trump meet in 2024, they will attempt to hold on to an outdated political philosophy, even though it is already out of step with the reality that surrounds America.